Brahyan Zurcher vs Tucker Lutz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-0-0Record12-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'8"
72"Reach72"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Cobrinha BJJTeamGround Control
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1662
If they lose-16→ 1630
If they win+16→ 1661
If they lose-16→ 1629
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1509 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1574 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brahyan ZurcherTucker Lutz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brahyan Zurcher60%
Tucker Lutz 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Brahyan Zurcher a 60% favorite over Tucker Lutz in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1646 vs 1645), separated by just 1 points.
Tucker Lutz enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Brahyan Zurcher finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Tucker Lutz 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.