Branden Lee Hinkle vs Jason Lambert
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-11-0Record26-13-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
230 lbsWeight205 lbs
Hammer HouseTeamAlliance MMA
What's at stake
Jason Lambert is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Branden Lee Hinkle carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1588
If they lose-13→ 1556
If they win+10→ 1646
If they lose-14→ 1622
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1586 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1576 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Branden Lee HinkleJason Lambert
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jason Lambert64%
Branden Lee Hinkle 36%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Jason Lambert a 64% favorite over Branden Lee Hinkle in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Jason Lambert holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1636 to 1569, a 67-point edge.
Branden Lee Hinkle finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Jason Lambert 85%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.