Combat Edge Intelligence

Branden Lee Hinkle vs Jeff Monson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jeff Monson
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Jeff Monson

“The Snowman”

60-26-1HeavyweightDMMA

1616Solid

Tale of the tape

17-11-0Record60-26-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
230 lbsWeight238 lbs
Hammer HouseTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

Jeff Monson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Branden Lee Hinkle carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Branden Lee HinkleNow 1569
If they win+18→ 1587
If they lose-14→ 1555
Jeff MonsonNow 1616
If they win+10→ 1626
If they lose-14→ 1602

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1586 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1502 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.61
Sig. strikes / min
1.13
69%
Strike accuracy
36%
3.91
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.33
26%
Strike defense
59%
4.34
Takedown avg.
1.39
57%
Takedown accuracy
16%
67%
Takedown defense
67%
4.34
Submission avg.
0.60

Trajectory

Branden Lee HinkleJeff Monson
15501600201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022

Win method breakdown

12 (71%)
KO/TKO
5 (8%)
3 (18%)
Submission
36 (61%)
2 (12%)
Decision
18 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Branden Lee Hinkle56%
Jeff Monson 44%Elo baseline: 43%

The Combat Edge model makes Branden Lee Hinkle a 56% favorite over Jeff Monson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jeff Monson's way (43%).

Jeff Monson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1616 to 1569, a 47-point edge.

Branden Lee Hinkle finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Jeff Monson 69%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.