Branden Lee Hinkle vs Jeff Monson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-11-0Record60-26-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
230 lbsWeight238 lbs
Hammer HouseTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Jeff Monson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Branden Lee Hinkle carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1588
If they lose-14→ 1556
If they win+10→ 1625
If they lose-14→ 1601
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1586 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1497 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Branden Lee HinkleJeff Monson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Branden Lee Hinkle54%
Jeff Monson 46%Elo baseline: 44%
The Combat Edge model makes Branden Lee Hinkle a 54% favorite over Jeff Monson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jeff Monson's way (44%).
Jeff Monson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1615 to 1570, a 45-point edge.
Branden Lee Hinkle finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Jeff Monson 69%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.