Branden Lee Hinkle vs Mahamed Aly
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-11-0Record5-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
TBDReach77"
230 lbsWeight205 lbs
Hammer HouseTeamOne Way Martial Arts
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1586
If they lose-16→ 1554
If they win+24→ 1591
If they lose-24→ 1543
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1586 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Branden Lee HinkleMahamed Aly
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Branden Lee Hinkle and Mahamed Aly within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1570 vs 1567), separated by just 3 points.
Branden Lee Hinkle finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Mahamed Aly 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.