Branden Lee Hinkle vs Paulin Begai
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
17-11-0Record8-5-1
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'5"
TBDReach-
230 lbsWeight206 lbs
Hammer HouseTeamMMA Factory
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1585
If they lose-16→ 1553
If they win+16→ 1583
If they lose-16→ 1551
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1586 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1535 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Branden Lee HinklePaulin Begai
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Paulin Begai53%
Branden Lee Hinkle 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Paulin Begai a 53% favorite over Branden Lee Hinkle in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Branden Lee Hinkle's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1569 vs 1567), separated by just 2 points.
Branden Lee Hinkle finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Paulin Begai 63%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.