Brandon Davis vs Kyle Bochniak
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-12-0Record11-7-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'7"
72"Reach38,5"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Alan Belcher MMA ClubTeamBroadway Jiu-Jitsu
What's at stake
Kyle Bochniak is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Brandon Davis carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1614
If they lose-15→ 1582
If they win+15→ 1629
If they lose-17→ 1597
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1560 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1646 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brandon DavisKyle Bochniak
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kyle Bochniak54%
Brandon Davis 46%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Kyle Bochniak a 54% favorite over Brandon Davis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Kyle Bochniak holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1614 to 1597, a 17-point edge.
Brandon Davis enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Kyle Bochniak enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Brandon Davis finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Kyle Bochniak 36%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.