Brandon Davis vs Mana Martinez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-12-0Record10-5-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'10"
72"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight137 lbs
Alan Belcher MMA ClubTeamGlory MMA & Fitness
What's at stake
Brandon Davis is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Mana Martinez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1612
If they lose-17→ 1580
If they win+17→ 1595
If they lose-15→ 1563
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1560 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1576 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brandon DavisMana Martinez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brandon Davis52%
Mana Martinez 48%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Brandon Davis a 52% favorite over Mana Martinez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Brandon Davis holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1597 to 1578, a 19-point edge.
Brandon Davis enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Mana Martinez enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Brandon Davis finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Mana Martinez 80%.
Brandon Davis carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.