Brandon Davis vs Randy Costa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-13-0Record8-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'10"Height5'10"
72"Reach73"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Alan Belcher MMA ClubTeamLauzon MMA
What's at stake
Brandon Davis is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Randy Costa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1596
If they lose-13→ 1572
If they win+17→ 1578
If they lose-15→ 1546
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1568 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1558 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brandon DavisRandy Costa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brandon Davis58%
Randy Costa 42%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Brandon Davis a 58% favorite over Randy Costa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Brandon Davis holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1585 to 1561, a 24-point edge.
Brandon Davis enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Brandon Davis finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Randy Costa 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.