Brandon Davis vs Randy Costa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-12-0Record8-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'10"Height5'10"
72"Reach73"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Alan Belcher MMA ClubTeamLauzon MMA
What's at stake
Brandon Davis is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Randy Costa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1611
If they lose-18→ 1579
If they win+18→ 1579
If they lose-14→ 1547
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1560 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1557 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brandon DavisRandy Costa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Randy Costa53%
Brandon Davis 47%Elo baseline: 45%
The Combat Edge model makes Randy Costa a 53% favorite over Brandon Davis in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Brandon Davis's way (45%).
Brandon Davis holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1597 to 1561, a 36-point edge.
Brandon Davis enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Brandon Davis finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Randy Costa 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.