Combat Edge Intelligence

Brandon Davis vs Steven Peterson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-13-0Record19-11-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'9"
72"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Alan Belcher MMA ClubTeamFortis MMA

What's at stake

Steven Peterson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Brandon Davis carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Brandon DavisNow 1585
If they win+13→ 1598
If they lose-11→ 1574
Steven PetersonNow 1609
If they win+11→ 1620
If they lose-13→ 1596

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1568 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1625 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.68
Sig. strikes / min
4.76
36%
Strike accuracy
40%
4.62
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.94
59%
Strike defense
53%
0.74
Takedown avg.
1.42
7%
Takedown accuracy
27%
58%
Takedown defense
64%
0.12
Submission avg.
0.71

Trajectory

Brandon DavisSteven Peterson
1600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (27%)
KO/TKO
5 (26%)
4 (27%)
Submission
8 (42%)
7 (47%)
Decision
6 (32%)

Combat Edge model read

Steven Peterson59%
Brandon Davis 41%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Steven Peterson a 59% favorite over Brandon Davis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Steven Peterson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1609 to 1585, a 24-point edge.

Brandon Davis enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Steven Peterson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Brandon Davis finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Steven Peterson 68%.

Brandon Davis carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.