Combat Edge Intelligence

Brandon Foxworth vs Joshua Weems

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-4-0Record17-9-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'8"
TBDReach69"
145 lbsWeight154 lbs
Minnesota Fight FactoryTeamBlack Sails MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brandon FoxworthNow 1600
If they win+16→ 1616
If they lose-16→ 1584
Joshua WeemsNow 1601
If they win+16→ 1617
If they lose-16→ 1585

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1511 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1571 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.33
Sig. strikes / min
5.25
32%
Strike accuracy
65%
4.59
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.34
51%
Strike defense
61%
0
Takedown avg.
4.77
TBD
Takedown accuracy
40%
0%
Takedown defense
100%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Brandon FoxworthJoshua Weems
160016502008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (11%)
KO/TKO
2 (12%)
16 (89%)
Submission
9 (53%)
0 (0%)
Decision
6 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Joshua Weems66%
Brandon Foxworth 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Joshua Weems a 66% favorite over Brandon Foxworth in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1600 vs 1601), separated by just 1 points.

Brandon Foxworth finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Joshua Weems 65%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.