Combat Edge Intelligence

Brandon Holmes vs Buddy Roberts

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

6-1-0Record12-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'2"
74"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
TNT Martial Arts & FitnessTeamJackson-Wink MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brandon HolmesNow 1620
If they win+24→ 1644
If they lose-24→ 1596
Buddy RobertsNow 1619
If they win+16→ 1635
If they lose-16→ 1603

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1539 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.17
TBD
Strike accuracy
34%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.08
TBD
Strike defense
70%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
76%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.65

Trajectory

Brandon HolmesBuddy Roberts
15501600165020102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (67%)
KO/TKO
4 (33%)
0 (0%)
Submission
5 (42%)
2 (33%)
Decision
3 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Brandon Holmes66%
Buddy Roberts 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Brandon Holmes a 66% favorite over Buddy Roberts in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1620 vs 1619), separated by just 1 points.

Brandon Holmes finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Buddy Roberts 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.