Brandon Holmes vs Cezar Ferreira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
6-2-0Record14-11-0
MiddleweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'1"
76"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight216 lbs
TNT Martial Arts & FitnessTeamMMA Masters
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1616
If they lose-24→ 1568
If they win+12→ 1604
If they lose-12→ 1580
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1551 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1659 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Brandon HolmesCezar Ferreira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Cezar Ferreira53%
Brandon Holmes 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Cezar Ferreira a 53% favorite over Brandon Holmes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Brandon Holmes's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1592 vs 1592), separated by just 0 points.
Cezar Ferreira enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Brandon Holmes finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Cezar Ferreira 57%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.