Brandon Holmes vs Crafton Wallace
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-2-0Record18-6-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'0"
76"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight184 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1616
If they lose-24→ 1568
If they win+16→ 1609
If they lose-16→ 1577
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1551 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Brandon HolmesCrafton Wallace
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brandon Holmes63%
Crafton Wallace 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Brandon Holmes a 63% favorite over Crafton Wallace in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Crafton Wallace's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1592 vs 1593), separated by just 1 points.
Crafton Wallace enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Brandon Holmes finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Crafton Wallace 94%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.