Combat Edge Intelligence

Brandon Holmes vs Eric Schafer

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

6-1-0Record14-8-2
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'3"
74"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
TNT Martial Arts & FitnessTeamRed Schafer MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brandon HolmesNow 1620
If they win+24→ 1644
If they lose-24→ 1596
Eric SchaferNow 1623
If they win+16→ 1639
If they lose-16→ 1607

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1539 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1558 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.89
TBD
Strike accuracy
34%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.38
TBD
Strike defense
57%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.81
TBD
Takedown accuracy
36%
TBD
Takedown defense
50%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.81

Trajectory

Brandon HolmesEric Schafer
15501600165020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (67%)
KO/TKO
4 (31%)
0 (0%)
Submission
8 (62%)
2 (33%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Brandon Holmes66%
Eric Schafer 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Brandon Holmes a 66% favorite over Eric Schafer in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Eric Schafer's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1620 vs 1623), separated by just 3 points.

Brandon Holmes finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Eric Schafer 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.