Brandon Holmes vs Jack Marshman
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-1-0Record23-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'0"
74"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1644
If they lose-24→ 1596
If they win+12→ 1632
If they lose-12→ 1608
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1539 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1643 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brandon HolmesJack Marshman
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brandon Holmes70%
Jack Marshman 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Brandon Holmes a 70% favorite over Jack Marshman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1620 vs 1620), separated by just 0 points.
Jack Marshman enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Brandon Holmes finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Jack Marshman 78%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.