Brandon Holmes vs Modestino Rodrigues
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-1-0Record7-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'2"
74"Reach-
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+25→ 1645
If they lose-23→ 1597
If they win+23→ 1657
If they lose-25→ 1609
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1539 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brandon HolmesModestino Rodrigues
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Modestino Rodrigues60%
Brandon Holmes 40%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Modestino Rodrigues a 60% favorite over Brandon Holmes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1620 vs 1634), separated by just 14 points.
Modestino Rodrigues enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Brandon Holmes finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Modestino Rodrigues 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.