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Combat Edge Intelligence

Brandon Holmes vs Ryan Loder

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Ryan Loder
us

Ryan Loder

“The Man of Steel”

7-3-0MiddleweightUFC

1591Solid

Tale of the tape

6-2-0Record7-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'2"
76"Reach76"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brandon HolmesNow 1592
If they win+24→ 1616
If they lose-24→ 1568
Ryan LoderNow 1591
If they win+16→ 1607
If they lose-16→ 1575

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1551 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
5.76
Not available
Strike accuracy
71%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.51
Not available
Strike defense
50%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.57
Not available
Takedown accuracy
14%
Not available
Takedown defense
100%
Not available
Submission avg.
1.57

Trajectory

Brandon HolmesRyan Loder
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (67%)
KO/TKO
5 (71%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (33%)
Decision
2 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Brandon Holmes57%
Ryan Loder 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Brandon Holmes a 57% favorite over Ryan Loder in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1592 vs 1591), separated by just 1 points.

Ryan Loder enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Brandon Holmes finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Loder 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.