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Combat Edge Intelligence

Brandon Holmes vs Steve Vigneault

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

6-2-0Record12-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'10"
76"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight169 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brandon HolmesNow 1592
If they win+24→ 1616
If they lose-24→ 1568
Steve VigneaultNow 1592
If they win+16→ 1608
If they lose-16→ 1576

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1551 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
2.79
Not available
Strike accuracy
46%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
9.77
Not available
Strike defense
45%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0
Not available
Takedown accuracy
0%
Not available
Takedown defense
100%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Brandon HolmesSteve Vigneault
1550160020102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (67%)
KO/TKO
9 (75%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (8%)
2 (33%)
Decision
2 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Brandon Holmes67%
Steve Vigneault 33%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Brandon Holmes a 67% favorite over Steve Vigneault in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1592 vs 1592), separated by just 0 points.

Brandon Holmes finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Steve Vigneault 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.