Combat Edge Intelligence

Brandon Jenkins vs Danilo Belluardo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Brandon Jenkins
us

Brandon Jenkins

“The Human Highlight Reel”

18-12-0WelterweightKC

1557Solid

Tale of the tape

18-12-0Record13-6-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'11"
71"Reach74,5"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Syndicate MMATeamAurora MMA· 1581 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brandon JenkinsNow 1557
If they win+16→ 1573
If they lose-16→ 1541
Danilo BelluardoNow 1558
If they win+16→ 1574
If they lose-16→ 1542

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1562 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.93
Sig. strikes / min
1.52
41%
Strike accuracy
62%
8.05
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.79
33%
Strike defense
41%
0
Takedown avg.
3.50
TBD
Takedown accuracy
100%
27%
Takedown defense
50%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Brandon JenkinsDanilo Belluardo
1550160020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (67%)
KO/TKO
7 (54%)
3 (17%)
Submission
3 (23%)
3 (17%)
Decision
3 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Brandon Jenkins and Danilo Belluardo within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1557 vs 1558), separated by just 1 points.

Brandon Jenkins finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Danilo Belluardo 77%.

Danilo Belluardo carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.