Brandon Jenkins vs John Maguire
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-12-0Record26-13-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'9"
71"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight169 lbs
Syndicate MMATeamTsunami Gym
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1573
If they lose-16→ 1541
If they win+12→ 1571
If they lose-12→ 1547
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1562 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1519 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brandon JenkinsJohn Maguire
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brandon Jenkins70%
John Maguire 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Brandon Jenkins a 70% favorite over John Maguire in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans John Maguire's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1557 vs 1559), separated by just 2 points.
John Maguire enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Brandon Jenkins finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, John Maguire 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.