Brandon Jenkins vs Satoru Kitaoka
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
18-12-0Record45-27-10
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'6"
71"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight156 lbs
Syndicate MMATeamLotus Setagaya
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1573
If they lose-16→ 1541
If they win+12→ 1570
If they lose-12→ 1546
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1562 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1491 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Brandon JenkinsSatoru Kitaoka
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brandon Jenkins55%
Satoru Kitaoka 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Brandon Jenkins a 55% favorite over Satoru Kitaoka in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Satoru Kitaoka's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1557 vs 1558), separated by just 1 points.
Satoru Kitaoka enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Brandon Jenkins finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Satoru Kitaoka 49%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.