Combat Edge Intelligence

Brandon Lewis vs Jesse Strader

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-4-0Record7-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'4"Height5'7"
64"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Superman's MMATeamKemo's Fight Factory

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brandon LewisNow 1578
If they win+16→ 1594
If they lose-16→ 1562
Jesse StraderNow 1576
If they win+16→ 1592
If they lose-16→ 1560

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1573 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1542 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
5.03
TBD
Strike accuracy
52%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.28
TBD
Strike defense
47%
TBD
Takedown avg.
3.87
TBD
Takedown accuracy
57%
TBD
Takedown defense
100%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Brandon LewisJesse Strader
155016002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (43%)
KO/TKO
5 (71%)
1 (14%)
Submission
1 (14%)
3 (43%)
Decision
1 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Brandon Lewis59%
Jesse Strader 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Brandon Lewis a 59% favorite over Jesse Strader in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1578 vs 1576), separated by just 2 points.

Brandon Lewis finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Jesse Strader 86%.

Jesse Strader carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.