Brandon Lewis vs Lewis McGrillen
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-4-0Record13-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'4"Height5'6"
64"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Superman's MMATeamManchester Top Team
What's at stake
Lewis McGrillen is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Brandon Lewis carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1599
If they lose-11→ 1567
If they win+11→ 1693
If they lose-21→ 1661
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1574 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1534 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Brandon LewisLewis McGrillen
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Lewis McGrillen59%
Brandon Lewis 41%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Lewis McGrillen a 59% favorite over Brandon Lewis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Lewis McGrillen holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1682 to 1578, a 104-point edge.
Brandon Lewis finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Lewis McGrillen 85%.
Lewis McGrillen carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.