Brandon Melendez vs Joe Lauzon
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
25-25-0Record28-15-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Elite PerformanceTeamLauzon MMA
What's at stake
Joe Lauzon is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Brandon Melendez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1499
If they lose-7→ 1475
If they win+7→ 1656
If they lose-17→ 1632
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1493 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1669 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Brandon MelendezJoe Lauzon
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joe Lauzon77%
Brandon Melendez 23%Elo baseline: 72%
The Combat Edge model makes Joe Lauzon a 77% favorite over Brandon Melendez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (72%).
Joe Lauzon holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1649 to 1482, a 167-point edge.
Brandon Melendez finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Joe Lauzon 93%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.