Brandon Moreno vs Brandon Royval
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-10-2Record18-9-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'7"
70"Reach68"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Fortis MMATeamFactory X
What's at stake
Brandon Moreno is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Brandon Royval carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1759
If they lose-13→ 1735
If they win+13→ 1724
If they lose-11→ 1700
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1741 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1726 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brandon MorenoBrandon Royval
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brandon Moreno60%
Brandon Royval 40%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Brandon Moreno a 60% favorite over Brandon Royval in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Brandon Moreno holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1748 to 1711, a 37-point edge.
Brandon Moreno enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Brandon Moreno finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Brandon Royval 78%.
Brandon Moreno and Brandon Royval share 3 common opponents: Lone’er Kavanagh, Tatsuro Taira and Alexandre Pantoja.
Brandon Moreno carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.