Brandon Moreno vs Kai Kara-France
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-10-2Record25-12-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'5"
70"Reach69″
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Fortis MMATeamCity Kickboxing
What's at stake
Brandon Moreno is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Kai Kara-France carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1758
If they lose-14→ 1734
If they win+14→ 1693
If they lose-10→ 1669
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1741 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1711 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brandon MorenoKai Kara-France
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brandon Moreno71%
Kai Kara-France 29%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Brandon Moreno a 71% favorite over Kai Kara-France in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Brandon Moreno holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1748 to 1679, a 69-point edge.
Brandon Moreno enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Brandon Moreno finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Kai Kara-France 60%.
Brandon Moreno and Kai Kara-France share 4 common opponents: Steve Erceg, Amir Albazi, Brandon Royval and Alexandre Pantoja.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.