Brandon Moreno vs Nate Maness
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-10-2Record16-3-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'10"
70"Reach72"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Fortis MMATeamSalvation Mixed Martial Arts
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1760
If they lose-12→ 1736
If they win+17→ 1753
If they lose-15→ 1721
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1741 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1659 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brandon MorenoNate Maness
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brandon Moreno62%
Nate Maness 38%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Brandon Moreno a 62% favorite over Nate Maness in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1748 vs 1736), separated by just 12 points.
Brandon Moreno enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Nate Maness enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Brandon Moreno finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Nate Maness 56%.
Nate Maness carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.