Brandon Moreno vs Sergio Pettis
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-10-2Record25-8-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'6"
70"Reach69"
125 lbsWeight134 lbs
Fortis MMATeamRoufusport· 1685 avg Elo · 8 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1769
If they lose-12→ 1745
If they win+12→ 1764
If they lose-12→ 1740
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1732 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1718 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Brandon MorenoSergio Pettis
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brandon Moreno61%
Sergio Pettis 39%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Brandon Moreno a 61% favorite over Sergio Pettis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1757 vs 1752), separated by just 5 points.
Brandon Moreno finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Sergio Pettis 36%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.