Combat Edge Intelligence

Brandon Moreno vs Tagir Ulanbekov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

23-10-2Record17-3-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'7"
70"Reach70"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Fortis MMATeamEagles MMA· 1817 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brandon MorenoNow 1748
If they win+12→ 1760
If they lose-12→ 1736
Tagir UlanbekovNow 1740
If they win+16→ 1756
If they lose-16→ 1724

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1741 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1642 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.84
Sig. strikes / min
3.37
44%
Strike accuracy
49%
3.64
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.36
60%
Strike defense
52%
1.36
Takedown avg.
2.94
15%
Takedown accuracy
39%
65%
Takedown defense
62%
0.40
Submission avg.
1.56

Trajectory

Brandon MorenoTagir Ulanbekov
1750202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (22%)
KO/TKO
1 (6%)
11 (48%)
Submission
8 (47%)
7 (30%)
Decision
8 (47%)

Combat Edge model read

Brandon Moreno56%
Tagir Ulanbekov 44%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Brandon Moreno a 56% favorite over Tagir Ulanbekov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1748 vs 1740), separated by just 8 points.

Brandon Moreno enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Brandon Moreno finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Tagir Ulanbekov 53%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.