Brandon Moreno vs Tatsuro Taira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-10-2Record18-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'7"
70"Reach70"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Fortis MMATeamThe Blackbelt Japan· 1645 avg Elo · 7 rated
What's at stake
Tatsuro Taira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Brandon Moreno carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1770
If they lose-11→ 1746
If they win+14→ 1806
If they lose-18→ 1774
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1732 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1693 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Brandon MorenoTatsuro Taira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tatsuro Taira58%
Brandon Moreno 42%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Tatsuro Taira a 58% favorite over Brandon Moreno in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Tatsuro Taira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1792 to 1757, a 35-point edge.
Brandon Moreno finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Tatsuro Taira 78%.
Brandon Moreno and Tatsuro Taira share 1 common opponent: Brandon Royval.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.