Brandon Moreno vs Tatsuro Taira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-10-2Record18-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'7"
70"Reach70"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Fortis MMATeamThe Blackbelt Japan· 1682 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
Tatsuro Taira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Brandon Moreno carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1761
If they lose-11→ 1737
If they win+14→ 1805
If they lose-18→ 1773
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1741 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1694 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brandon MorenoTatsuro Taira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tatsuro Taira67%
Brandon Moreno 33%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Tatsuro Taira a 67% favorite over Brandon Moreno in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Tatsuro Taira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1791 to 1748, a 43-point edge.
Brandon Moreno enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Brandon Moreno finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Tatsuro Taira 78%.
Brandon Moreno and Tatsuro Taira share 1 common opponent: Brandon Royval.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.