Combat Edge Intelligence

Brandon Moreno vs Zhifa Shang

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Zhifa Shang
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Zhifa Shang

“Dongbei Flying Tiger”

39-9-0FlyweightJCK

1745Good

Tale of the tape

23-10-2Record39-9-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'7"
70"ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Fortis MMATeamLongyun MMA Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brandon MorenoNow 1748
If they win+12→ 1760
If they lose-12→ 1736
Zhifa ShangNow 1745
If they win+12→ 1757
If they lose-12→ 1733

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1741 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1520 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.89
Sig. strikes / min
1.27
44%
Strike accuracy
32%
3.62
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.27
60%
Strike defense
60%
1.47
Takedown avg.
2
44%
Takedown accuracy
100%
65%
Takedown defense
0%
0.43
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Brandon MorenoZhifa Shang
175020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (22%)
KO/TKO
5 (13%)
11 (48%)
Submission
20 (51%)
7 (30%)
Decision
14 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Brandon Moreno70%
Zhifa Shang 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Brandon Moreno a 70% favorite over Zhifa Shang in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1748 vs 1745), separated by just 3 points.

Brandon Moreno enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Brandon Moreno finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Zhifa Shang 64%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.