Brandon Moreno vs Zhifa Shang
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-10-2Record39-9-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'7"
70"ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Fortis MMATeamLongyun MMA Gym
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1760
If they lose-12→ 1736
If they win+12→ 1762
If they lose-12→ 1738
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1741 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1529 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brandon MorenoZhifa Shang
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brandon Moreno70%
Zhifa Shang 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Brandon Moreno a 70% favorite over Zhifa Shang in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Zhifa Shang's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1748 vs 1750), separated by just 2 points.
Brandon Moreno enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Brandon Moreno finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Zhifa Shang 64%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.