Brandon Royval vs Charles Johnson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-9-0Record19-9-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'9"
68"Reach70"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Factory XTeamMurcielago MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1709
If they lose-12→ 1685
If they win+12→ 1704
If they lose-12→ 1680
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1729 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1697 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brandon RoyvalCharles Johnson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Charles Johnson70%
Brandon Royval 30%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Charles Johnson a 70% favorite over Brandon Royval in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Brandon Royval's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1697 vs 1692), separated by just 5 points.
Brandon Royval enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Brandon Royval finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Charles Johnson 58%.
Brandon Royval and Charles Johnson share 1 common opponent: Joshua Van.
Charles Johnson carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.