Combat Edge Intelligence

Brandon Royval vs Jarred Brooks

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-9-0Record20-3-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'3"
68"Reach36,0"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Factory XTeamMash Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brandon RoyvalNow 1711
If they win+12→ 1723
If they lose-12→ 1699
Jarred BrooksNow 1723
If they win+15→ 1738
If they lose-17→ 1706

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1726 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1585 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.54
Sig. strikes / min
2.12
42%
Strike accuracy
46%
4.25
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.66
43%
Strike defense
63%
0.65
Takedown avg.
4.54
75%
Takedown accuracy
57%
45%
Takedown defense
69%
1.08
Submission avg.
0.57

Trajectory

Brandon RoyvalJarred Brooks
170017502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (22%)
KO/TKO
2 (10%)
10 (56%)
Submission
8 (40%)
4 (22%)
Decision
10 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Brandon Royval56%
Jarred Brooks 44%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Brandon Royval a 56% favorite over Jarred Brooks in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jarred Brooks's way (48%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1711 vs 1723), separated by just 12 points.

Jarred Brooks enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Brandon Royval finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Jarred Brooks 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.