Brandon Royval vs Joseph Morales
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-9-0Record14-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'6"
68"Reach69"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Factory XTeamTeam Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 21 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1723
If they lose-12→ 1699
If they win+16→ 1730
If they lose-16→ 1698
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1726 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1586 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brandon RoyvalJoseph Morales
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joseph Morales53%
Brandon Royval 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Joseph Morales a 53% favorite over Brandon Royval in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1711 vs 1714), separated by just 3 points.
Joseph Morales enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Brandon Royval finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Joseph Morales 71%.
Brandon Royval and Joseph Morales share 1 common opponent: Matt Schnell.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.