Brandon Royval vs Joshua Van
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-9-0Record18-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'5"
68"Reach65"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Factory XTeam4oz. Fight Club· 1606 avg Elo · 9 rated
What's at stake
Joshua Van is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Brandon Royval carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+16→ 1727
If they lose-8→ 1703
If they win+11→ 1828
If they lose-21→ 1796
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1726 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1711 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Brandon RoyvalJoshua Van
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joshua Van70%
Brandon Royval 30%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Joshua Van a 70% favorite over Brandon Royval in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Joshua Van holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1817 to 1711, a 106-point edge.
Joshua Van enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Brandon Royval finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Joshua Van 61%.
Brandon Royval and Joshua Van share 2 common opponents: Tatsuro Taira and Alexandre Pantoja.
Brandon Royval carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Common opponents (2)
LossDecision - Unanimous · 2023
LossSubmission · 2021
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2026
WinTKO · 2025