Brandon Royval vs Joshua Van
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-9-0Record17-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'5"
68"Reach65"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Factory XTeam4oz. Fight Club
What's at stake
Joshua Van is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Brandon Royval carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1712
If they lose-9→ 1688
If they win+11→ 1811
If they lose-21→ 1779
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1729 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1694 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brandon RoyvalJoshua Van
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joshua Van83%
Brandon Royval 17%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Joshua Van a 83% favorite over Brandon Royval in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Joshua Van holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1800 to 1697, a 103-point edge.
Brandon Royval enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Joshua Van enters on a 7-fight win streak.
Brandon Royval finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Joshua Van 65%.
Brandon Royval and Joshua Van share 2 common opponents: Tatsuro Taira and Alexandre Pantoja.
Brandon Royval carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.