Brandon Royval vs Kai Kara-France
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-9-0Record25-12-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'5"
68"Reach69″
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Factory XTeamCity Kickboxing
What's at stake
Brandon Royval is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Kai Kara-France carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1722
If they lose-13→ 1698
If they win+13→ 1692
If they lose-11→ 1668
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1726 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1711 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brandon RoyvalKai Kara-France
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brandon Royval79%
Kai Kara-France 21%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Brandon Royval a 79% favorite over Kai Kara-France in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Brandon Royval holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1711 to 1679, a 32-point edge.
Brandon Royval finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Kai Kara-France 60%.
Brandon Royval and Kai Kara-France share 3 common opponents: Brandon Moreno, Alexandre Pantoja and Rogério Bontorin.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.