Combat Edge Intelligence

Brandon Royval vs Magomed Bibulatov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-9-0Record21-3-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'5"
68"Reach36,5"
125 lbsWeight136 lbs
Factory XTeamFight Club Akhmat· 1683 avg Elo · 20 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brandon RoyvalNow 1711
If they win+12→ 1723
If they lose-12→ 1699
Magomed BibulatovNow 1706
If they win+12→ 1718
If they lose-12→ 1694

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1726 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1536 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.54
Sig. strikes / min
3.60
42%
Strike accuracy
51%
4.25
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.83
43%
Strike defense
52%
0.65
Takedown avg.
2.85
75%
Takedown accuracy
40%
45%
Takedown defense
75%
1.08
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Brandon RoyvalMagomed Bibulatov
17002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (22%)
KO/TKO
6 (29%)
10 (56%)
Submission
5 (24%)
4 (22%)
Decision
10 (48%)

Combat Edge model read

Brandon Royval66%
Magomed Bibulatov 34%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Brandon Royval a 66% favorite over Magomed Bibulatov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1711 vs 1706), separated by just 5 points.

Brandon Royval finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Magomed Bibulatov 52%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.