Brandon Royval vs Rogério Bontorin
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-9-0Record17-5-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'5"
68"Reach67"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Factory XTeamGile Ribeiro Team
What's at stake
Brandon Royval is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Rogério Bontorin carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1721
If they lose-14→ 1697
If they win+18→ 1679
If they lose-14→ 1647
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1726 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1627 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brandon RoyvalRogério Bontorin
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brandon Royval79%
Rogério Bontorin 21%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Brandon Royval a 79% favorite over Rogério Bontorin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Brandon Royval holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1711 to 1661, a 50-point edge.
Brandon Royval finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Rogério Bontorin 82%.
Brandon Royval and Rogério Bontorin share 1 common opponent: Matt Schnell.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.