Brandon Royval vs Tatsuro Taira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-9-0Record18-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'7"
68"Reach70"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Factory XTeamThe Blackbelt Japan
What's at stake
Tatsuro Taira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Brandon Royval carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1726
If they lose-9→ 1702
If they win+12→ 1802
If they lose-20→ 1770
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1726 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1694 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brandon RoyvalTatsuro Taira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tatsuro Taira70%
Brandon Royval 30%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Tatsuro Taira a 70% favorite over Brandon Royval in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Tatsuro Taira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1790 to 1711, a 79-point edge.
Brandon Royval finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Tatsuro Taira 78%.
Brandon Royval and Tatsuro Taira share 2 common opponents: Joshua Van and Brandon Moreno.
Tatsuro Taira carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.