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Combat Edge Intelligence

Brandon Thatch vs Jack Grant

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

11-5-0Record21-9-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height6'1"
74,0"Reach76"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamFight Ministry

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brandon ThatchNow 1649
If they win+16→ 1665
If they lose-16→ 1633
Jack GrantNow 1647
If they win+12→ 1659
If they lose-12→ 1635

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1616 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1572 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.70
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
43%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.63
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
53%
Strike defense
Not available
1.36
Takedown avg.
Not available
67%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
50%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.68
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Brandon ThatchJack Grant
1650170020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (73%)
KO/TKO
10 (48%)
3 (27%)
Submission
10 (48%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (5%)

Combat Edge model read

Jack Grant56%
Brandon Thatch 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jack Grant a 56% favorite over Brandon Thatch in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Brandon Thatch's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1649 vs 1647), separated by just 2 points.

Brandon Thatch enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Brandon Thatch finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Jack Grant 95%.

Jack Grant carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.