Brandon Thatch vs Niko Price
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-5-0Record16-11-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height6'0"
74,0"Reach76"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamFutures MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+15→ 1664
If they lose-17→ 1632
If they win+12→ 1650
If they lose-12→ 1626
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1616 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1682 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Brandon ThatchNiko Price
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Niko Price78%
Brandon Thatch 22%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Niko Price a 78% favorite over Brandon Thatch in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Brandon Thatch's way (48%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1649 vs 1638), separated by just 11 points.
Brandon Thatch enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Brandon Thatch finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Niko Price 81%.
Niko Price carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.