Brandon Thatch vs Niko Price
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
11-5-0Record16-11-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height6'0"
74,0"Reach76"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamFutures MMA
What's at stake
Brandon Thatch is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Niko Price carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1664
If they lose-17→ 1632
If they win+13→ 1636
If they lose-11→ 1612
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1616 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1690 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brandon ThatchNiko Price
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Niko Price58%
Brandon Thatch 42%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Niko Price a 58% favorite over Brandon Thatch in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Brandon Thatch's way (46%).
Brandon Thatch holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1649 to 1623, a 26-point edge.
Brandon Thatch enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Niko Price enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Brandon Thatch finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Niko Price 81%.
Niko Price carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.