Brandon Thatch vs Siyar Bahadurzada
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-5-0Record24-8-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height5'11"
74,0"Reach72,5"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamJackson-Wink MMA
What's at stake
Siyar Bahadurzada is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Brandon Thatch carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1667
If they lose-14→ 1635
If they win+10→ 1703
If they lose-14→ 1679
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1616 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1664 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brandon ThatchSiyar Bahadurzada
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Siyar Bahadurzada57%
Brandon Thatch 43%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Siyar Bahadurzada a 57% favorite over Brandon Thatch in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Siyar Bahadurzada holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1693 to 1649, a 44-point edge.
Brandon Thatch enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Siyar Bahadurzada enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Brandon Thatch finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Siyar Bahadurzada 83%.
Brandon Thatch and Siyar Bahadurzada share 1 common opponent: Paulo Thiago.
Brandon Thatch carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.