Combat Edge Intelligence

Brandon Vera vs Eliot Marshall

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Brandon Vera
us

Brandon Vera

“The Truth”

16-10-0HeavyweightONE

1614Solid

Tale of the tape

16-10-0Record10-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
TBDReachTBD
246 lbsWeight205 lbs
Alliance MMATeamGrudge Training Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brandon VeraNow 1614
If they win+12→ 1626
If they lose-12→ 1602
Eliot MarshallNow 1614
If they win+16→ 1630
If they lose-16→ 1598

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1580 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1582 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.03
Sig. strikes / min
1.93
56%
Strike accuracy
27%
2.81
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.39
53%
Strike defense
68%
0.70
Takedown avg.
0.47
53%
Takedown accuracy
33%
60%
Takedown defense
79%
0.18
Submission avg.
0.94

Trajectory

Brandon VeraEliot Marshall
1600165020092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022

Win method breakdown

11 (69%)
KO/TKO
1 (10%)
1 (6%)
Submission
5 (50%)
4 (25%)
Decision
4 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Eliot Marshall64%
Brandon Vera 36%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Eliot Marshall a 64% favorite over Brandon Vera in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Brandon Vera's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1614 vs 1614), separated by just 0 points.

Brandon Vera enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Eliot Marshall enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Brandon Vera finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Eliot Marshall 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.