Brandon Vera vs Jon Jones
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-10-0Record28-1-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'4"
TBDReach84"
246 lbsWeight248 lbs
Alliance MMA· 1651 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamJackson-Wink MMA
What's at stake
Jon Jones is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +4 while a loss costs more — Brandon Vera carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1637
If they lose-4→ 1613
If they win+4→ 1910
If they lose-20→ 1886
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1595 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1762 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Brandon VeraJon Jones
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jon Jones85%
Brandon Vera 15%Elo baseline: 84%
The Combat Edge model makes Jon Jones a 85% favorite over Brandon Vera in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (84%).
Jon Jones holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1906 to 1617, a 289-point edge.
Brandon Vera enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Jon Jones enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Brandon Vera finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Jon Jones 64%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.