Brandon Vera vs Keith Jardine
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-10-0Record17-11-2
HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'2"
TBDReachTBD
246 lbsWeight185 lbs
Alliance MMA· 1651 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamJackson-Wink MMA
What's at stake
Brandon Vera is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Keith Jardine carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1627
If they lose-14→ 1603
If they win+18→ 1585
If they lose-14→ 1553
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1595 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1677 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Brandon VeraKeith Jardine
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brandon Vera57%
Keith Jardine 43%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Brandon Vera a 57% favorite over Keith Jardine in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Brandon Vera holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1617 to 1567, a 50-point edge.
Brandon Vera enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Keith Jardine enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Brandon Vera finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Keith Jardine 59%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.