Brandon Vera vs Keith Jardine
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
16-10-0Record17-11-2
HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'2"
TBDReachTBD
246 lbsWeight185 lbs
Alliance MMATeamJackson-Wink MMA
What's at stake
Brandon Vera is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Keith Jardine carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1624
If they lose-14→ 1600
If they win+18→ 1588
If they lose-14→ 1556
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1580 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1683 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brandon VeraKeith Jardine
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brandon Vera58%
Keith Jardine 42%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Brandon Vera a 58% favorite over Keith Jardine in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Brandon Vera holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1614 to 1570, a 44-point edge.
Brandon Vera enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Keith Jardine enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Brandon Vera finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Keith Jardine 59%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.