Brandon Vera vs Mohammed Usman
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-10-0Record11-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
TBDReach79"
246 lbsWeight237 lbs
Alliance MMA· 1633 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamWar Room Kickboxing & MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1626
If they lose-12→ 1602
If they win+16→ 1631
If they lose-16→ 1599
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1587 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1579 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brandon VeraMohammed Usman
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mohammed Usman57%
Brandon Vera 43%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Mohammed Usman a 57% favorite over Brandon Vera in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1614 vs 1615), separated by just 1 points.
Brandon Vera enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Brandon Vera finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Mohammed Usman 55%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.