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Combat Edge Intelligence

Brandon Vera vs Randy Couture

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Brandon Vera
us

Brandon Vera

“The Truth”

16-10-0HeavyweightONE

1617Solid
Randy Couture
us

Randy Couture

“The Natural”

19-11-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1720Good

Tale of the tape

16-10-0Record19-11-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'1"
TBDReach75"
246 lbsWeight203 lbs
Alliance MMA· 1651 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

Randy Couture is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Brandon Vera carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Brandon VeraNow 1617
If they win+15→ 1632
If they lose-9→ 1608
Randy CoutureNow 1720
If they win+9→ 1729
If they lose-15→ 1705

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1595 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1663 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.03
Sig. strikes / min
2.85
56%
Strike accuracy
58%
2.81
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.53
53%
Strike defense
59%
0.70
Takedown avg.
2.78
53%
Takedown accuracy
47%
60%
Takedown defense
58%
0.18
Submission avg.
0.48

Trajectory

Brandon VeraRandy Couture
160016501700175020092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022

Win method breakdown

11 (69%)
KO/TKO
7 (37%)
1 (6%)
Submission
4 (21%)
4 (25%)
Decision
8 (42%)

Combat Edge model read

Randy Couture68%
Brandon Vera 32%Elo baseline: 64%

The Combat Edge model makes Randy Couture a 68% favorite over Brandon Vera in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).

Randy Couture holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1720 to 1617, a 103-point edge.

Brandon Vera enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Brandon Vera finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Randy Couture 58%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.