Combat Edge Intelligence

Brandon Visher vs Manuel Exposito

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-3-0Record14-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'6"Height5'7"
TBDReach69"
145 lbsWeight150 lbs
Wailuku Boxing ClubTeamEntram Gym· 1682 avg Elo · 11 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brandon VisherNow 1639
If they win+16→ 1655
If they lose-16→ 1623
Manuel ExpositoNow 1639
If they win+16→ 1655
If they lose-16→ 1623

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1504 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1552 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.55
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
45%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.76
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
43%
Strike defense
TBD
0.67
Takedown avg.
TBD
20%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Brandon VisherManuel Exposito
1600165017002008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (46%)
KO/TKO
4 (29%)
4 (31%)
Submission
7 (50%)
3 (23%)
Decision
3 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Manuel Exposito79%
Brandon Visher 21%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Manuel Exposito a 79% favorite over Brandon Visher in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Brandon Visher's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1639 vs 1639), separated by just 0 points.

Brandon Visher enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Brandon Visher finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Manuel Exposito 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.