Combat Edge Intelligence

Braxton Smith vs Marc Doussis

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Braxton Smith
us

Braxton Smith

“The Beautiful Monster”

5-2-0HeavyweightUFC

1567Solid

Tale of the tape

5-2-0Record10-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'11"Height6'0"
TBDReach75.6"
262 lbsWeight256 lbs
Black Sheep BoxingTeamUFD Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Braxton SmithNow 1567
If they win+24→ 1591
If they lose-24→ 1543
Marc DoussisNow 1566
If they win+16→ 1582
If they lose-16→ 1550

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1496 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.46
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
48%
Strike accuracy
TBD
11.54
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
32%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
100%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Braxton SmithMarc Doussis
1500155016002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (100%)
KO/TKO
5 (50%)
0 (0%)
Submission
5 (50%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Marc Doussis70%
Braxton Smith 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Marc Doussis a 70% favorite over Braxton Smith in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Braxton Smith's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1567 vs 1566), separated by just 1 points.

Braxton Smith finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Marc Doussis 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.