Braxton Smith vs Oli Thompson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-2-0Record22-16-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'11"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
262 lbsWeight205 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1564
If they lose-24→ 1516
If they win+12→ 1549
If they lose-12→ 1525
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1507 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1590 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Braxton SmithOli Thompson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Oli Thompson56%
Braxton Smith 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Oli Thompson a 56% favorite over Braxton Smith in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Braxton Smith's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1540 vs 1537), separated by just 3 points.
Braxton Smith enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Braxton Smith finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Oli Thompson 86%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.